Markman Capital Insight

Stocks gain despite widening profit recession

March 29th, 2016

Durable goods orders fell 2.8% month-over-month in February while core orders fell 1.8%, well below expectations for a 0.5% decline. As a result, the Atlanta Fed downgraded its first quarter GDPNow forecast to just 1.4% from 1.9% previously. Moreover, the final read on Q4 2015 GDP growth rate released on Friday came in at 1.4% -- down from...

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Are we already in a bear market?

September 22nd, 2015

There are a lot of different definitions of a "bear" market, but I prefer the simplest. If an index or stock is under its 200-day average for a few weeks, and if it closes under its 12-month average at the close of a month, it is at minimum in a bear cycle.The definition matters because you have to recognize that behavior changes. In a bear cycle, you...

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Spotlight Stock: Under Armour

September 22nd, 2015

The swift development of a category of clothing known by the portmanteau "athleisure" has shocked and changed youth retailing in the past few years. Working out is cool again, and wearing your workout clothes makes a personal statement about your lifestyle. This movement has led to the rise of companies like lululemon (LULU), which have had tremendous...

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Understanding July's Stock Performance

August 5th, 2015

One of my favorite regular analytical pieces produced by the folks at Bespoke Investment Group is their monthly S&P 500 Decile Performance. The grid does a great job of explaining which factors are driving stock market performance in the month. During the middle of a year, these trends tend to be persistent from month to month.To run the analysis,...

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Introducing Magnitude VX

July 19th, 2015

A few days ago, we announced a change to futures system subscriptions at Markman Capital Insight. Now I would like to take a moment to explain the change in more detail.The new system generating buy and sell decisions is called Magnitude. Its origins are in earthquake science, and it leverages advanced mathematics and behavioral finance principles...

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Introducing Magnitude TY

July 19th, 2015

A few days ago, we announced a change to futures system subscriptions at Markman Capital Insight. Now I would like to take a moment to explain the change in more detail.The new system generating buy and sell decisions is called Magnitude. Its origins are in earthquake science, and it leverages advanced mathematics and behavioral finance principles...

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Introducing Magnitude TF

July 18th, 2015

A few days ago, I announced a change to futures system subscriptions at Markman Capital Insight. Now I would like to take a moment to explain the change in more detail.The new system generating buy and sell decisions is called Magnitude. Its origins are in earthquake science, and it leverages advanced mathematics and behavioral finance principles...

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Introducing Magnitude ES

July 18th, 2015

A few days ago, I announced a change to futures system subscriptions at Markman Capital Insight. Now I would like to take a moment to explain the change in more detail.The new system generating buy and sell decisions is called Magnitude. Its origins are in earthquake science, and it leverages advanced mathematics and behavioral finance principles...

CONTINUE READING