Risk Rewarded Blog

Gemini VF1, which trades the S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) futures, logged a $1,350 gross profit, or +5.4%, for its $25k model portfolio on Wednesday after a fourteen-day trading sequence that involved four contracts.The system is now up $6,500 gross for the year, or 26%. That's more than double its annual subscription fee with...

The chips are down. Or at least the ones in elder care are. The Philadepihia Semiconductor Index more than doubled from late 2012 to a high earlier this month. It's been a solid, nearly unblemished advance powered by excitement over the internet of things (everyday objects connected digitally) and excitement about a PC upgrade cycle after Microsoft...

In the two years between late 2012 and late 2014, transportation stocks -- cargo and people movers like UPS (UPS), Southwest Airlines (LUV), and CSX (CSX) --  were the place the be. TheDow Jones Transportation Average gained nearly 90% in a rise that was as unstoppable as a freight train; more than double the...

The setbacks this week have pushed the S&P 500 under its 50-day moving average for the first time since January, and the benchmark index is now down 1% for the year.The damage is getting serious: The percentage of NYSE stocks above their 50-day moving average has declined to just 44%. And this is not a matter of a bunch of nobodies getting hit....

Our bond futures programs Gemini TY completed its first sequence of the year Friday for a big $1,953.08 gross profit.The system started shorting the 10 Year Note (TY) futures  on Jan. 15, and ultimately over the course of the next 50 days traded seven contracts, as you can see in the table below.Bonds are traded in 32nds rather than decimals....

Apple (AAPL) is completing its journey from renegade to matron with the announcement that it would be joining the Dow Jones   Industrial Average, effective  March 19 taking the place of old Ma Bell, AT&T (T). The move was prompted by a 4:1 stock split by Visa (V) which would have reduced the weighting of information technology...

I checked in with Jason Goepfert to see what the sentiment data is showing about the recent stall in the market, and as usual he had some interesting data to share. Goepfert, who runs Sundial Capital, reports that for the first time since last June, an extreme in the outlook between Smart Money and Dumb Money traders has emerged. Both terms...

Gemini VF1, which trades S&P 500 Volatility Index (VX) futures, recorded a $2,050 gross profit, or +8.2%, for its $25k model portfolio on Tuesday. That was awesome. The sequence involved just one contract, and took only five days. The system is now up $4,000 gross for the year, or +16%, more than covering its annual cost with 10 more months...