Risk Rewarded Blog

Regular readers of my Forbes magazine column, Twitter feed and Yahoo! Finance blog know that I cover a lot more material than I can fit in my subscription newsletters.  That's why I decided to create a special VIP letter -- a quick, private, unvarnished analysis of what's going on in the markets, global economy, technology and culture, along with...

Regular readers of my Forbes magazine column, Twitter feed and Yahoo! Finance blog know that I cover a lot more material than I can fit in my subscription newsletters.  That's why I decided to create a special VIP letter -- a quick, private, unvarnished analysis of what's going on in the markets, global economy, technology and culture, along with...

Regular readers of my Forbes magazine column, Twitter feed and Yahoo! Finance blog know that I cover a lot more material than I can fit in my subscription newsletters.  That's why I decided to create a special VIP letter -- a quick, private, unvarnished analysis of what's going on in the markets, global economy, technology and culture, along with...

Unless you’ve been holed up in a cabin somewhere binge watching the latest season of The Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt you’re probably aware Amazon (AMZN) is unbundling its video streaming service from Prime to become a standalone service. In theory this makes it a formidable competitor for Netflix (NFLX) which, by the way, is the producer of Unbreakable...

Durable goods orders fell 2.8% month-over-month in February while core orders fell 1.8%, well below expectations for a 0.5% decline. As a result, the Atlanta Fed downgraded its first quarter GDPNow forecast to just 1.4% from 1.9% previously. Moreover, the final read on Q4 2015 GDP growth rate released on Friday came in at 1.4% -- down from...

There are a lot of different definitions of a "bear" market, but I prefer the simplest. If an index or stock is under its 200-day average for a few weeks, and if it closes under its 12-month average at the close of a month, it is at minimum in a bear cycle.The definition matters because you have to recognize that behavior changes. In a bear cycle, you...

The swift development of a category of clothing known by the portmanteau "athleisure" has shocked and changed youth retailing in the past few years. Working out is cool again, and wearing your workout clothes makes a personal statement about your lifestyle. This movement has led to the rise of companies like lululemon (LULU), which have had tremendous...

One of my favorite regular analytical pieces produced by the folks at Bespoke Investment Group is their monthly S&P 500 Decile Performance. The grid does a great job of explaining which factors are driving stock market performance in the month. During the middle of a year, these trends tend to be persistent from month to month.To run the analysis,...